Health Officials Calculate Possible Timeline For Omicron Spread In EU
European health experts have calculated that the omicron strain could become the dominant COVID-19 option in the EU between January and March 2022. Their mathematical calculations are published in a report by the World Health Organization, CNBC reports.
Omicron has been detected in 21 countries in the European Union and the European Economic Area, according to the EU Public Health Agency as of 8 December. The European Centre for Disease Prevention estimated that this variant could become the dominant strain in Europe sometime between January and March.
If 1% of detected infections are caused by omicron, it is spreading faster in the EU than the delta variant (as in South Africa). According to the agency’s mathematical model, it would then become dominant in Europe, with more than 50% of new cases by 1 January.
If the new strain spreads 30% faster than the delta, it would need until March to become dominant in the EU. A scenario analysis was given in a report published by WHO on Wednesday, 8 December.